domingo, 30 de novembro de 2008

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable, By Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
By
Nassim Nicholas Taleb


What the Critics Say
"[Taleb] administers a severe thrashing to MBA- and Nobel Prize-credentialed experts who make their living from economic forecasting." (Booklist)"The hubris of predictions - and our perpetual surprise when the not-predicted happens - are themes of Nassim Nicholas Taleb's engaging new book....It concerns the occurrence of the improbable, the power of rare events and the author's lament that 'in spite of the empirical record we continue to project into the future as if we were good at it.'" (The New York Times)
Publisher's Summary
Maverick thinker Nassim Nicholas Taleb had an illustrious career on Wall Street before turning his focus to his black swan theory. Not all swans are white, and not all events, no matter what the experts think, are predictable. Taleb shows that black swans, like 9/11, cannot be foreseen and have an immeasurable impact on the world.
©2007 Nassim Nicholas Taleb; (P)2007 Recorded Books, LLC

Available for download at www.audible.com

0 comentários: